Outcome Distribution Kit
Sample-first outcome distribution templates for operators
Outcome Distribution Kit is a plain-Python Monte Carlo CLI for delivery timelines, revenue envelopes, and hiring fill time. Model weighted scenarios and get median, p90, and the probability of clearing a threshold instead of one fake date. Free sample, no card. Full kit is $47 one-time.
Free sample: https://outcome-distribution-kit.surge.sh/
Full kit: https://bapscribe.gumroad.com/l/bncdib
Features
- Weighted scenarios for smooth, typical, and rocky paths
- Triangular, normal, lognormal, and uniform ranges
- Median, p75, p90, p95, mean, and P(threshold)
- Python 3.8+ standard library only
Use Cases
- Plan a delivery date as a range before you commit
- Model SaaS revenue envelopes for a board update
- Estimate hiring fill time when inputs are uncertain
- Inspect planning assumptions instead of defending one number
Comments
Maker here. Outcome Distribution Kit turns one-number plans into ranges: median, p90, and the chance of clearing a threshold for delivery, revenue, and hiring. Plain Python, standard library only. Free sample is on the site; the full kit is a one-time $47 if you want the scenarios. Not financial advice.
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Comments
Maker here. Outcome Distribution Kit turns one-number plans into ranges: median, p90, and the chance of clearing a threshold for delivery, revenue, and hiring. Plain Python, standard library only. Free sample is on the site; the full kit is a one-time $47 if you want the scenarios. Not financial advice.
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